Mock Draft 12.0 picks 1-16: Honing in

Nearly there
1: Chicago Bears - Caleb Williams
2: Washington Commanders - Drake Maye
3: New England Patriots - Jayden Daniels
4: Minnesota Vikings - J.J. McCarthy
5: Los Angeles Chargers - Marvin Harrison Jr.
6: New York Giants - Malik Nabers
7: Tennessee Titans - Joe Alt
8: Atlanta Falcons - Dallas Turner
9: Chicago Bears - Jared Verse
10: New York Jets - Rome Odunze
11: Arizona Cardinals - Terrion Arnold
12: Denver Broncos - Michael Penix Jr.
13: Las Vegas Raiders - JC Latham
14: New Orleans Saints - Olumuyiwa Fashanu
15: Indianapolis Colts - Brock Bowers
16: Philadelphia Eagles - Troy Fautanu
Nearly there

We are just a few days out from the NFL draft, so now is the time to hone in on our final predictions. With a first round that looks ripe for trade activity up and down the board, this is a tough draft to project, but we’ll give it a go!

1: Chicago Bears - Caleb Williams

All the reports from NFL insiders are that this pick is all but decided. Williams is an elite prospect at QB, if he pans out, he will be the best in Bears history.

2: Washington Commanders - Drake Maye

Oddsmakers are shortening the odds that Jayden Daniels will be the number two pick, but we don’t see it. Draft expert Benjamin Solak charted Daniels as having a 36.7% stand and deliver percentage, which is unprecedentedly low for any QB prospect.

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3: New England Patriots - Jayden Daniels

As mentioned, we aren’t sold on Daniels as a pro-ready prospect, but the Pats don’t need him to be. They have Jacoby Brissett ready to start for a season or two, allowing Daniels to fine-tune his game.

4: Minnesota Vikings - J.J. McCarthy

The Cardinals could sit and take Marvin Harrison Jr. and we wouldn’t be shocked, but everything the Vikings have done so far suggests they are looking to trade up for a QB.

5: Los Angeles Chargers - Marvin Harrison Jr.

The Chargers need a wide receiver desperately, and they get their guy in Harrison, who had 67 catches for 1,211 yards and 14 scores in 2023, per Sports Illustrated.

6: New York Giants - Malik Nabers

As Jonathan Jones writes for CBS Sports, “the Giants could absolutely draft a quarterback with this pick and I wouldn't blink,” but is it worth reaching when Nabers is right there?

7: Tennessee Titans - Joe Alt

The Titans can pair Alt with last year’s first-rounder Peter Skoronski, locking down the left side of their offensive front for the foreseeable future. Alt has the tools to be elite.

8: Atlanta Falcons - Dallas Turner

Dallas Turner should give the Falcons some much-needed pass rush. Per Dan Parr of NFL Network, the Falcons have the lowest QB pressure rate in the NFL since 2016 which makes it really hard to win in the NFL.

9: Chicago Bears - Jared Verse

The Bears could take a wide receiver here, but as Sports Illustrated pointed out, defensive end is a sneaky need in Chicago. Verse is the second-best EDGE defender in the class and should pair nicely with Montez Sweat.

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10: New York Jets - Rome Odunze

The Jets are in a one or two-year window to win before Aaron Rodgers hangs up his cleats. Joe Douglas needs to nail this draft class by choosing instant-impact players. Rome Odunze has the potential to be just that.

11: Arizona Cardinals - Terrion Arnold

“He can play outside and inside and had great ball production at Alabama,” per Jonathan Jones. Arnold is a useful, versatile option for Jonathan Gannon’s defense.

12: Denver Broncos - Michael Penix Jr.

We don’t love Penix as a pro-prospect, but the Broncos are desperate. Could they wait until the second round and see if Bo Nix is available?

13: Las Vegas Raiders - JC Latham

Per CBS Sports, at least one NFL personnel executive believes Latham is the “safest” tackle prospect in the draft. The Raiders need an influx of talent, but they can’t afford too many risks.

14: New Orleans Saints - Olumuyiwa Fashanu

The Saints need to find a left tackle for the future, and they could end up getting blessed with Fashanu falling into their laps at 14.

15: Indianapolis Colts - Brock Bowers

There have been reports that some NFL scouts are skeptical of Bowers’ athleticism, of all possible criticisms, this seems like a reach. Bowers in Shane Steichen’s offense should be fun to watch.

16: Philadelphia Eagles - Troy Fautanu

The Eagles, and Howie Roseman, are never shy of trading up to secure their man. All the reports suggest the plan is to find a long-term replacement at RT who could play guard in the meantime… enter Troy Fautanu.

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