Why Arsenal will win their first Premier League title in over two decades

Decided on the final day
So close, yet so far
Most wins in a season
A bit of luck
Fewer errors
Depth
Goals
Clearout
Calafiori's integration
Tactical shift
Attacking reinforcements
The Hand of Premier League Justice
Decided on the final day

Arsenal pushed Manchester City all the way last season, with the Premier League trophy being decided on the final day.

So close, yet so far

This year, Arsenal have the chance to go one better and take the Premier League crown they've not worn since the 2003/04 season.

Most wins in a season

Per the BBC, the Gunners did record the most wins in a season for the club and scored their record number of goals. It was an impressive season, but what do they need to take the next step?

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A bit of luck

This feels like a cop-out answer, but any time you are facing an all-time great side like Pep’s City, you need a sprinkle of luck. Last season's game against Newcastle at St. James’ Park where the ball seemed to cross the byline during the build-up to the Newcastle winner, and Emi Martinez’s wonder save against Leandro Trossard at the Emirates come to mind.

Fewer errors

Arsenal were the best defensive team in the country last season, conceding only 29 goals all season. However, per the Premier League, they finished with seven errors leading to goals. That is nearly 25% of their goals caused by their own mistakes. City, on the other hand, only made three errors leading to goals all season. Clinical.

Depth

Manchester City have an embarrassment of riches in their squad. During their title-winning match against West Ham, their bench included, John Stones, Nathan Aké, Mateo Kovačić, Jack Grealish, and Matheus Nunes. When fit, those players start for most clubs in Europe. Arsenal’s bench is good, but it lacks game-winners.

Goals

Arsenal scored 91 goals in the Premier League last season, a remarkable, and record-breaking achievement for the club. Yet it wasn’t enough. City scored 96 with Erling Haaland having a “down-year” scoring nine fewer goals than last year with 27, per Transfermarkt. Considering the closeness of the Gunners’ losses, a few more goals would make all the difference.

Clearout

As part of Edu and Arteta’s revolution, players who aren’t up to their standards are let go with some brutality. Mostly the wheat has been sorted from the chaff in their eyes, but players like Eddie Nketiah, Reiss Nelson, and Emile Smith Rowe lost the confidence of Mikel Arteta last year. Smith Rowe has already been sold, and the club looks set to move on from Nketiah and Nelson as well.

Calafiori's integration

Arsenal were desperate for a new left-back by the end of last season's campaign, with Mikel Arteta reportedly making it a priority, per The Athletic. Enter Riccardo Calafiori from Bologna, who looks set to add talent and depth to an area of weakness.

 

 

Tactical shift

A new left-back could signal a change in tactics for Arteta, with the inverting full-back role that Oleksandr Zinchenko helped revolutionise falling out of fashion. Jakub Kiwior and Takehiro Tomiyasu both played LB at times for Arsenal last season and mostly performed well, but neither offer the consistent attacking threat of Ben White on the right side of Arsenal’s defense. Could we see Calafiori's inclusion change the shape of Arsenal's attack?

Attacking reinforcements

Arsenal's attack looks potent when the first-choice players are all available, but an injury or two could see the Gunners struggling for goals. There have been links to Nico Williams and others all Summer, but so far no moves were made in the attacking areas.

The Hand of Premier League Justice

According to The Guardian, the Premier League's hearing into Manchester City is set to begin in mid-late September with the aim to wrap up the verdict, plus any appeals by the end of the 24/25 season. Should City be found guilty as charged, a potential points deduction could open the door for Arsenal to swoop in during the 24/25 season and seize victory!

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